IIt’s the lenient end to another awards season, filled with bitterness, backlash and setbacks, which obviously means, yes, it’s the start of the next one! While the frontrunners in each of the major categories may have changed throughout the season, the past few months have solidified the frontrunners who went on to win awards at last week’s Oscars. This time last year it was arguably just Will Smith and Jane Campion who seemed like the top contenders, so with enough grains of salt to fill the Dolby Theater, here’s a series of risky guesses, “don’t quote me not on it” for the next ceremony of the year:
It’s admittedly not a big gamble to predict that Steven Spielberg’s name will be a major fixture of awards season, with the director having won three Oscars while being nominated for 16 others, but after coming home empty-handed this weekend. -end, next year may well see him crowned once more. Following the successful run of Alfonso Cuarón and, more recently, Kenneth Branagh, The Fabelmans will see the director delve into his youth for a semi-autobiographical family drama, an unusually small film for a director more associated with a much larger scale. Michelle Williams and Seth Rogen will play the parents while the screenplay, co-written by Spielberg (his first credit as a writer since AI in 2001) and Tony Kushner, has been called “very revealing” by the cinematographer. longtime director, Janusz Kamiński.
Two years after terrifying men who really should be more terrified in Midnight Film-turned-Oscar-nominated Promising Young Woman, Carey Mulligan may be back in the running with another #MeToo-era tale. The double nominee (who was first in line for Best Actress for An Education in 2009) takes on the role of New York Times reporter Megan Twohey in She Said, an adaptation of the bestseller co-written by Twohey and Jodi Kantor (played by Zoe Kazan). It details how the pair worked to take down Harvey Weinstein with countless stories of his sexual misconduct. Directed by Unorthodox’s Maria Schrader, who won an Emmy for helming Netflix’s acclaimed series, and also starring nominees Patricia Clarkson and Samantha Morton, it’s one of the most Oscar-friendly projects ever. season.
This year may have seen an unusual dearth of examples (SAG nominee Jennifer Hudson narrowly missed the role of Aretha Franklin), but the lead role in the musical biopic has always been one of the easier to win an Oscar nomination. Next year’s likeliest choice is British actor Naomi Ackie, best known for The End of the F***ing World, who landed the much-requested role of Whitney Houston in I Wanna Dance with Somebody. Houston’s untouchable voice will be used, but Ackie will take the singer through the many ups and downs of what has been called an “unrestrained” drama from producer Clive Davis, who discovered Houston as a teenager. Director Kasi Lemmons last introduced her Harriet star Cynthia Erivo in a 2020 Best Actress nod.
Even in his heyday, Brendan Fraser never quite had the run he’s about to have, a comeback so perfectly crafted it’ll be the envy of every other faded star looking for a ride. career restart. After a small role in Steven Soderbergh’s popular drama No Sudden Move last year, the next 12 months will see him star opposite Leonardo DiCaprio in Martin Scorsese’s factual thriller Killers of the Flower Moon, reminding us of his talent for comedy alongside Josh Brolin, Peter Dinklage and Glenn Close as Brothers, play key villain in DC’s Batgirl film and, more excitingly, direct Darren Aronofsky’s highly anticipated new film The Whale. The director previously pulled off a successful recast of Mickey Rourke in 2008’s The Wrestler, securing him and co-star Marisa Tomei of Oscar nominations, and now hopes to do the same with his adaptation of the acclaimed play, which sees Fraser play a 600 pound gay man. trying to reconnect with his daughter.
Coming out with the horror hit Hereditary before securing its Next Big Thing status with the expectation-shattering melodrama of Midsommar, a film that a bolder academy would surely have rewarded, Ari Aster’s new film carries with it a rare feeling of curious excitement. Oscar recognition feels easily within reach and perhaps his next film, “nightmarish comedy” Disappointment Blvd, could be the one. It stars Oscar winner Joaquin Phoenix as “one of the most successful entrepreneurs of all time” in an ambitious, decades-long mock biopic that also stars Patti LuPone, Amy Ryan and Parker Posey. Little is known other than it will be four hours long and that Aster and Phoenix reportedly had a tumultuous relationship on set.
Kelvin Harrison Jr.
Someone else who also feels like he’s on the verge of Academy Approval for the past few years is Kelvin Harrison Jr, a prolific and supernaturally talented actor who has quickly established himself as one of his best. generation. While he was charming and musically adept in Cyrano and The High Note, he also tackled darker, gnarlier material in Luce and Waves and the next year sees him starring in two Oscar-appropriate films, including one might bring him back his first candidacy. His role as BB King in Baz Luhrmann’s extravagant biopic Elvis may be too small to record, but he’s the lead in Searchlight’s Chevalier, playing the Chevalier de Saint-Georges, the French music prodigy. Caribbean woman who fell from the top to the bottom of French high society. after falling out of favor with Marie Antoinette. Award-winning Atlanta writer Stefani Robinson penned the script, suggesting it won’t be a stuffy period drama.
After Apple TV+ became the first streaming company to win the Best Picture Oscar with Coda (much to A’s chagrin for the Netflix effort), the tech giant will aim for more next season with the drama. Martin Scorsese’s $200 million Policeman Killers of Flower Moon. Originally housed at Paramount before being bought by streamers when executives faltered on budget, the adaptation of David Grann’s bestselling book about the Native American murder mystery has an impressive cast including Leonardo DiCaprio, Robert De Niro and Jesse Plemons. But Native American actress Lily Gladstone could end up stealing the film from them, having already impressed in Some Women and First Cow, and could become the first-ever Native person to win a non-honorary acting Oscar.
After winning the Oscar for Best Actress for La La Land, Emma Stone managed to avoid the Oscarbait curse, refusing to make the obvious and serious choices like others once did, while working with Cary Fukunaga on the Netflix series Maniac. and Yorgos Lanthimos for the dirty and weird period comedy La Favourite. The latter also won her a nomination and she reconnected with the director and the screenwriter of the film, Tony McNamara, for an adaptation of Poor Things by Alasdair Gray. It’s an evil, Victorian take on Frankenstein with Stone playing a woman brought back to life by a scientist using her unborn child’s brain and she stars alongside Ramy Youssef, Mark Ruffalo, Willem Dafoe and Jerrod Carmichael.
The acclaimed former actor has now fully come to life as an acclaimed director, having ushered Julie Christie to a Best Actress nomination with Away From Her (and earning a screenplay nod in the process) and having received plaudits for the doc Stories We Tell and relationship drama Take This Waltz. Her latest is an adaptation of the novel Women Talking by Miriam Toews, following a group of women living in an isolated Mennonite settlement who reunite when they discover that the men have sexually assaulted them all. It’s one of many #MeToo-themed movies heading our way and with Brad Pitt’s Plan B production (the same company that took Moonlight, Departed and 12 Years A Slave to best picture) and a cast including Frances McDormand, Jessie Buckley, Rooney Mara, Claire Foy and Ben Whishaw expect it to be a season mainstay.
While all of the above are guesses at best, predicting a nomination for Emma Thompson is based on one sure thing, the two-handed Sundance wonder Good Luck to You, Leo Grande. The much-loved multi-hyphen (who won Oscars for writing and acting), is already a sure bet for a Best Actress nod, if not a winner, for her stunning performance as a teacher. retiree who hires a sex worker to educate her on how to achieve an orgasm. It’s a somewhat scenic little film in one place (further nominations, except perhaps a nod to the original script, might be overkill) but Thompson is arguably the best that she’s ever been and with the Academy already on her side, it feels like we’re the closest we’ve got to getting a dead certificate at this point.