Bob Baffert has Derby Prep favorite

It’s time to get serious with the 2022 Rebel Stakes odds. The Saturday $1 Million Rebel Stakes awards 50 qualifying points and essentially guarantees a May 7 spot in the Kentucky Derby to the winner of this 1 1/16 mile event. at Oaklawn Park in Hot Springs, Ark.

The 62nd edition of the Rebel has a start time of 6:22 p.m. ET. New horse racing bettors can access the action via TVG. Click “Play Now” in the banner below for a risk-free bet up to $300.

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History of Rebel Stakes

Some excellent graduates come out of this race. American Pharoah turned the Rebel Stakes triumph into a Triple Crown sweep of the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont Stakes in 2015.

Curlin won the Rebel and the Breeders Cup Classic in 2007. Smarty Jones won the 2004 Rebel and became the first undefeated Kentucky Derby winner since Seattle Slew in 1977.

Another strong plateau marks this race. Here are the post positions and morning line odds listed on the Oaklawn Park site. Odds are not final until tee time in accordance with betting laws.

The Morning Line: Rebel Stakes 2022 odds

Click on the odds below to bet now.

To post Horse odds Jockey Coach
1 Kavod 12-1 Francisco Arrieta Chris Hartman
2 Newgrange 9-5 John Velazquez Bob Baffert
3 Cairama 15-1 Giovanni Franco Steve Asmussen
4 An Ojo 12-1 ramon vazquez Ricky Courville
5 texas red hot 12-1 Ricardo Santana Randy Morse
6 Stellar Faucet 12-1 Steve Asmussen Christian Torres
7 Ben Diesel 6-1 Jon Kenton Court Dallas Stewart
8 hunting time 8-1 Tyler Gaffalione Steve Asmussen
9 barber’s road 6-1 Reylu Gutierrez John Ortiz
ten ethereal road 12-1 Luis Contreras D. Wayne Lukas
11 fast attack 8-1 David Cohen Kenneth McPeek

Rebel Stakes Past Performance

1. Kavod (12-1)

Made an effort to steal the $750,000 from the southwest on this trail. He led the pack down to the home stretch at 13-1. The pacing was somewhat contested. Was overtaken by closers and finished fourth.

Connections will try to see if the young horse can continue to improve. Will probably run early. If he can extend his run another 100 yards, he can be in business.

2. Newgrange (9-5)

What’s not to like? It’s 3 for 3, including two Grade III triumphs. Bob Baffert, who has saddled a record eight Rebel Stakes winners, trains him. Newgrange looked like an heirloom big race winner from the start.

The last came to the southwest, where he was guided alertly by John Velazquez in third stalking position and knocked down the upset Kavod in the lane. It will be interesting to see if it joins Barber Road on the bend, as Barber Road was also flying at the southwest end. Well-deserved crush.

Newgrange would already be in the top three of the Kentucky Derby points standings, but he didn’t accumulate points because Baffert is suspended by Churchill Downs from competing in the 2022 Kentucky Derby.

3. Cairama (15-1)

Was on the trail with odds of 39-1 in the Smarty Jones. Did not reach the board of directors in a classified company. Seemed to run over his head. Hard to recommend.

4. One Ojo (12-1)

Moved solidly to capture a best-of-evers second place for the runaway Early Voting winner in the $250,000 Withers at Aqueduct. Early Voting looked like a special horse in this race. If this class angle is true, Un Ojo could be placed forward here. The racing style in the last race was closer.

5. Texas Red Hot (12-1)

Difficult to appreciate a 10th place at Grade II Futurity last year. Not even in conversation. To go past.

6. Stellar Faucet (12-1)

Was in striking position to capture the Breeders Futurity but lacked a finishing kick and finished seventh in a field of 13.
Returned to finish third in allowance company. Was in good position to win at 6-5 but got cut and couldn’t find a hole between two of the leaders in the stretch. I came back and finished third. Getting cut cost him second place, but he probably wouldn’t have won.

7. Ben Diesel (6-1)

Brought up smartly on a train trip in the Southwest. Saved land all the way and made the rail open for him in the lane. Gave a big effort but drifted and was caught just before the wire by Barber Road for second. Deserves respect for the last effort, even if it failed to win behind a desired trip.

8. Chase time (8-1)

Lots to like about his improvement trajectory. Won first special weights on third effort, then won allowance two races later.

The latest victory was impressive on two fronts. He broke alert and took the lead, but didn’t panic when another horse rushed from the back of the pack to take the lead from him on the backstretch. Joel Rosario calmly rated Chasing Time and his horse demolished the field down the stretch at 1-2.

From a class point of view, cheaper than others in the field. But Chasing Time was targeted for a major arena and now has it.

9. Barber Road (6-1)

Made a spirited push from last in a 12-horse field to get a strong second in the Southwest. Made steady improvement on the outside and passed most of the pack on the stretch. Will need a steady pace to run, similar to 23:07 for the first quarter and 47:32 for the first half of the 1 1–6-mile Southwest. Was a good price of 8-1 that day and would look like living off the effort. Eligible to improve if placed closer to pace early. To live.

10. Ethereal Road (12-1)

Could be a modern-day Silky Sullivan. Remember the famous finisher who dialed 41 lengths to win and coined the phrase “Silky Sullivan Finish” in the 1950s?

Ethereal Road’s latest run matches that endeavor. He broke slowly, got up out of the gate and broke at least a dozen lengths behind the pitch. He seemed to be 20 lengths behind on the straight and dead, dead last.

And then at 19-1 picked up the ground one by one and looked like 1-9 down the stretch. It’s a monstrous climb in class, but he ran here and showed his ability to overcome adversity. What happens with a decent break?

11. Lightning Attack (8-1)

Was in perfect striking position but weakened in the South West. At one point on track, was even with Barber Road and eventual race winner Newgrange. Unable to shoot. On a class aircraft, it should be understood that the task will be more difficult here.

But keep an eye on the surface. He won the Smarty Jones hands down in the New Year’s Slope in a field that included Barber Road, Cairama and Ben Diesel, all entered here. Showers are scheduled for Saturday. If it’s raining hard enough for the trail to be rated slop, it deserves more attention.

Triple Crown Calendar

Betting Strategies for Rebel Stakes 2022 Odds

Cadence scenario

The top five of the $750,000 Southwest Stakes are entered. This angle is fine, both from a class and track racing perspective.

Kavod, Chasing Time and Ben Diesel could follow suit, with Newgrange expected to follow.

If Newgrange stays in the 9-5 range it opened at, that’s enough rate of return for me to place a winning bet. If he drifts in the 7-5 or 6-5 range, not so much.

Time

Keep an eye on the weather. Rain is expected in the afternoon. If it turns the surface into a slope, it favors Dash Attack’s recent racing style.

On a normal surface, I would like recent performance indicators and take an exact box with Newgrange and Barber Road. They were moving better at the Southwest end.

I’ll bring him a $1 trifecta box with him, Dash Attack, and Barber Road. (2-9-11).

dark horses

The horses that could appear below are numerous. Un Ojo, 4, and Ethereal Road, 10, have the right to improve. How fast are they progressing?

Good betting board for exacta and trifecta boxes, with mid-priced horses having an excellent shot to hit the board.
Horses evolve and improve and several horses have a race on the track. Someone should run better than their ratings indicate.

Good luck with the Rebel Stakes 2022 odds. It’s quite a headache!

Road To Kentucky Derby Point Standings

The top 20 healthy horses in the standings after the completion of all KY Derby prep races will be eligible to enter the Race for the Roses on the first Saturday in May. This ranking is as of Wednesday, February 23.

# Horse Points Career earnings Coach
1 Epicenter 64 $410,639 Steven M. Asmussen
2 smile of happiness 30 $364,810 Kenneth G. McPeek
3 Classic pavement 16 $301,100 Brian A. Lynch
4 papacap 14 $600,000 Marc E. Casse
5 Zandon 14 $139,500 Chad C. Brown
6 white shelter 12 $240,850 Saffie A. “Joseph, Jr.”
7 Mo Donegal 12 $221,800 Todd A. Pletcher
8 Rattle N Roll ten $379,460 Kenneth G. McPeek
9 Jack Christopher ten $330,000 Chad C. Brown
ten make it big ten $303,828 Saffie A. “Joseph, Jr.”
11 Slow down Andy ten $253,850 Doug F. O’Neill
12 Major General ten $232,525 Todd A. Pletcher
13 fast attack ten $227,940 Kenneth G. McPeek
14 Early voting ten $181,500 Chad C. Brown
15 call me midnight ten $221,806 J. Keith Desormeaux
16 Courvoisier ten $148,700 Kelly J. Breen
17 barber’s road 8 $300,720 Jean-Alexandre Ortiz
18 Order performance 6 $220,000 Todd A. Pletcher
19 Mackinnon 5 $353,860 Doug F. O’Neill
20 Pioneer of Medina 5 $81,350 Todd A. Pletcher
21 giant game 4 $244,900 Dale L. Romans
22 Simplification 4 $173,270 Antonio Sano
23 Cabo Spirit 4 $177,220 Georges Papaprodromou
24 Difficult to tame 4 $103,350 Christopher Davis
25 An Ojo 4 $176,321 Anthony W. Dutrow
26 Shipstationary 4 $318,750 Edward R. Barker
27 Be smarter 4 $77,070 Alfredo Velasquez

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